Legitimacy is old school, I'm afraid. There's more money to be made in murky waters. Plus, in the case of Ukraine, Russia clearly wants the West to pay for the destruction they caused. So why take it on it's own balance sheet now? Let them fix it up a bit, then maybe.admin wrote: ↑Sun Dec 23, 2018 11:39 amlegitimacy
here is an interesting estimate how many more venezuelans could leave in the coming year simply due to lack of food:
https://www.brookings.edu/blog/up-front ... venezuela/
8 million is their number based on the fact that if venezuela spent every dollar efficiently earned from oil, to feed the poorest venezuelans, the most basic calories required, they can not feed 8 million people that are most in need.
that is apart from the rest of the populations, corruption, political considerations, etc. 10 million plus, is a real possibility.
and they are going to go where?
With the global ultra-consolidation of business, there are only so few super-players left. And they're all PPP - public-private 'partnerships'. What if those 8 million Venezuelan refugees get sent to the US on China-made boats, tricked out in Chinese life-jackets and munching on Russian army rations? What's that going to do to the US politics? How about 20 million?
We have a perfect example of what that looks like from the last few years in Europe.
The US has several super-players, unfortunately, and it's still some way off from full consolidation. Although with the recent moves re. Syria/Pentagon, it's getting there. So there's always temptation for one of these to partner with some other players, like China or Russia, in order to screw up their US competitors. That's where this talk of Venezuela invasion is coming from - one US group uttering threats to another US group. But the actual invasion will have just too many unpredictable consequences, imho, and nobody wants to shoot their balls off.
The US is starving off Venezuelans just to increase maintenance costs to China and Russia. I think all the US players are fine with that. For example, I read on this website that Venezuela could have made 6 billion USD just over the last three months since September had it not been for the US sanctions. That's 780 USD for every one of those 8 million starving Venezuelans that you mentioned, or 260 USD per month, which would have obviously bought them a lot of food.
I don't think we need to argue about whether their economic problems are internal or external. Or do we? Because socialism is bad?