Chile Peso 2018, Starts at 605.50

[admin]

1 USD = 594.722 CLP

The only emerging market currency to apreciate after this weeks market moves and u.s. inflation data this morning.

[admin]

They are talking another 10% down on the dollar is possible this year.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... et-s-radar

[admin]

That would put the peso in the 535 area from around 594 now. Of course a lot of other factors at play for the dollar vs. Peso specifically.

[admin]

1 USD = 592.557 CLP

[admin]

well, everything seems to be pointing to a stronger peso. Buy them while you can.

https://www.df.cl/noticias/mercados/com ... 95541.html

A predicted 10-12% increase in the price of copper, with a 10% drop in the dollar, makes for a very strong peso over the next year.

That is all aside from what the next administration has in mind for the economy. There is still talk of central bank cutting interest rates again, which are already really low.

A 3% + growth in 2018, we could be looking a return to sub-500 pesos to the dollar.

[admin]

This is article is calling 589 as the next support level.
https://www.df.cl/noticias/mercados/div ... 85253.html

[admin]

The one that really baffles me, is not the fed interest rates. Not the stock market. Not the price of copper. It is syria.

The United States and Russia, actually for the first time in history made a direct attack on a U.S. base, by Russian troops, and killed reportedly a couple hundred Russians. The media has covered little to nothing about it. No one is even paying any attention. Both the Russians and United states are both playing it down.

https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles ... s-in-syria

Not really mercenaries either:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... ria-strike

The U.S. and Russia have been in a low level cold war, well, since the cold war; but, acutely exchanging rounds that result in the death of one or the other's troops on the battle field, has never happened before (at least that I am aware of, outside of the occasional accidental engagement here and there).

That is aside from the shoot-down of the Israeli f-16, that resulted in the retaliation from Israeli that they claim destroyed over half the Syrian air defense system. The Israelis were gearing up for an even bigger strike, until Putin called Israeli. He must have had some strong words.

Point is, the international financial markets did not even find that mildly concerning, let alone anyone else?

[at46]

The one that really baffles me, is not the fed interest rates. Not the stock market. Not the price of copper. It is syria.

The United States and Russia, actually for the first time in history made a direct attack on a U.S. base, by Russian troops, and killed reportedly a couple hundred Russians. The media has covered little to nothing about it. No one is even paying any attention. Both the Russians and United states are both playing it down.

https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles ... s-in-syria

Not really mercenaries either:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... ria-strike

The U.S. and Russia have been in a low level cold war, well, since the cold war; but, acutely exchanging rounds that result in the death of one or the other's troops on the battle field, has never happened before (at least that I am aware of, outside of the occasional accidental engagement here and there).

That is aside from the shoot-down of the Israeli f-16, that resulted in the retaliation from Israeli that they claim destroyed over half the Syrian air defense system. The Israelis were gearing up for an even bigger strike, until Putin called Israeli. He must have had some strong words.

Point is, the international financial markets did not even find that mildly concerning, let alone anyone else?

Maybe try reading something other than Bloomberg? https://southfront.org/u-s-strikes-and- ... -in-syria/

[eeuunikkeiexpat]

Is this the year of the end of the Petrodollar?

Are you prepared for that?

[admin]

The one that really baffles me, is not the fed interest rates. Not the stock market. Not the price of copper. It is syria.

The United States and Russia, actually for the first time in history made a direct attack on a U.S. base, by Russian troops, and killed reportedly a couple hundred Russians. The media has covered little to nothing about it. No one is even paying any attention. Both the Russians and United states are both playing it down.

https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles ... s-in-syria

Not really mercenaries either:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... ria-strike

The U.S. and Russia have been in a low level cold war, well, since the cold war; but, acutely exchanging rounds that result in the death of one or the other's troops on the battle field, has never happened before (at least that I am aware of, outside of the occasional accidental engagement here and there).

That is aside from the shoot-down of the Israeli f-16, that resulted in the retaliation from Israeli that they claim destroyed over half the Syrian air defense system. The Israelis were gearing up for an even bigger strike, until Putin called Israeli. He must have had some strong words.

Point is, the international financial markets did not even find that mildly concerning, let alone anyone else?

Maybe try reading something other than Bloomberg? https://southfront.org/u-s-strikes-and- ... -in-syria/

The number is irrelevant (from a strategic standpoint). It is the fact that it is happening at all. Which your other source is not denying either.

U.S. direct engagement with Iranian forces:
https://warisboring.com/the-u-s-militar ... -in-syria/

Isreal direct support for the Rebels:
https://warontherocks.com/2018/02/israe ... as-rebels/

Turkey's invasion in to Northern Syria, and the very real possibility of a Turkey - U.S. fight:
https://warontherocks.com/2018/02/turkey/

Not since WWII has there been that many players, with that much hardware (arguably way more destructive hardware), in such a small piece of geography. The motives or intent are almost irrelevant to the action on the ground. Just by dumb luck, the chances of something getting way out of hand (assuming it has not already) goes way up.

There was rather shocking number I seen published by the Pentagon, in some article a while back I read. When the U.S. deploys troops to do anything, just by the fact that you have a lot of large heavy and dangerous equipment with people in close proximity, the casualty rate is 8% on average just from ho-hum accidents.

There was another number for accounting for friendly fire mistakes on top of that.

Now, to those numbers, what do you think the probability is of that many different fighting forces, with shifting alliances, bad communication, fuzzy strategic and tactical objectives, even fuzzier training, accidentally engaging in a fight?

If this was just a group of guys out duck hunting or deer hunting, they would probably end-up in a firefight with that much hardware in such close proximity to each other.

[at46]

Well, the source I mentioned gives a figure of casualties between 5 and 15. The Russian Foreign Ministry acknowledged 5 Russian passport holders, and other sources I've seen acknowledged 14 Russian speakers in total (9 being holders of other passports). The couple hundred figure you mentioned is plainly rejected by more or less objective observers (no body bags on the ground, no outcry from relatives back home etc).

Of course, Bloomberg et al are not an objective observer. Moreover, I'd say they're probably analogous to a US aircraft carrier in terms of their role in this information warfare. So next time you see them going apoplectic about any Russia-related number, divide that number by 20 and you're probably in the ball-park

One simple version I've seen is that the Russian oligarch-owner of the private military company whose personnel got hit just wanted to branch out into the oil and gas field by taking over that Conoco facility. The Russian military saw no reason to support a private initiative, hence, no air-cover. Someone got greedy, stepped out of line and got punished kinda thing.

A more involved version would be that we're seeing the last convulsions of the US-Israeli militarists trying to f*ck-up whatever strategic agreements were made between the Russian and American secret services during the recent visit to the US by the Russian military and intelligence brass. In this version, the Russian oligarch would have obviously played for the other side. But then militarists are the same on both sides, standing to loose their income if the war ends.

[admin]

Well, it was also interesting that the "mercenaries" where run by "putin's chef"; and, magically the same week Muller brings an indictment against the same guy for a completely different operation involving the presidential election. I am sure there is plenty of none-public backroom tit for tat going on right now among the military and spy agencies, that will never be made public.