Search found 390 matches

by Fugger
Fri Jun 12, 2020 1:02 pm
Forum: Chile Crisis, Emergencies, Disasters
Topic: The Chile Economy, Social Crisis and Virus Impact
Replies: 750
Views: 63592

Re: The Chile Economy, Social Crisis and Virus Impact

ghibli wrote:
Tue May 26, 2020 3:11 pm
Also, I wonder how the Latam chap 11 will affect Delta.
Delta SEC filing also referencing LATAM

https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/ed ... 722d8k.htm
by Fugger
Fri May 29, 2020 4:53 am
Forum: Chile Crisis, Emergencies, Disasters
Topic: The Chile Economy, Social Crisis and Virus Impact
Replies: 750
Views: 63592

Re: The Chile Economy, Social Crisis and Virus Impact

Fugger, you seem to be completely discounting SKY Airlines. Any particular reason? Also, I wonder how the Latam chap 11 will affect Delta. I think Sky is not comparable being largely a national/regional player, while Latam is by far the largest operator in Latin America (by way of comparison Sky ha...
by Fugger
Tue May 26, 2020 2:29 pm
Forum: Chile Crisis, Emergencies, Disasters
Topic: The Chile Economy, Social Crisis and Virus Impact
Replies: 750
Views: 63592

Re: The Chile Economy, Social Crisis and Virus Impact

yea, the government(s) will have to step in and bail them out. The Chilean economy simply will not handle a latam implosion. somewhere else in the world, no big deal. a bunch of other airlines would fill the gap, but not with Chile's geographic location and small population. Of course, 1,2,3.... cu...
by Fugger
Wed May 13, 2020 9:32 am
Forum: Chile Crisis, Emergencies, Disasters
Topic: coronavirus (COVID-19) in Chile
Replies: 2002
Views: 95155

Re: coronavirus (COVID-19) in Chile

There are a number of good reasons why using masks is not that relevant, especially compared to other measures (and no, I'm not a Covid-19 denier and I will follow the law and put a mask on when required to do so). 1) There is only limited indirect evidence that non-medical face masks are effective ...
by Fugger
Thu Apr 09, 2020 9:56 am
Forum: Chile Crisis, Emergencies, Disasters
Topic: coronavirus (COVID-19) in Chile
Replies: 2002
Views: 95155

Re: coronavirus (COVID-19) in Chile

Some good news out of Germany. One of the first results from a longitudinal study across a small city. https://www.land.nrw/sites/default/files/asset/document/zwischenergebnis_covid19_case_study_gangelt.pdf Infection rate much higher than expected (15% of population) but case fatality rate much lowe...
by Fugger
Mon Apr 06, 2020 1:21 pm
Forum: Living in Chile
Topic: Should Schools Charge Less for Now?
Replies: 42
Views: 2578

Re: Should Schools Charge Less for Now?

I fear that one of the negative consuequences will be massive breach of contract across industries. I hope it will not lead to a general culture that contracts don't need to be adhered to (well I guess we have this culture already in parts of the world) Just a few examples - retail rents not being p...
by Fugger
Sun Mar 29, 2020 12:50 pm
Forum: Chile Crisis, Emergencies, Disasters
Topic: coronavirus (COVID-19) in Chile
Replies: 2002
Views: 95155

Re: coronavirus (COVID-19) in Chile

Unfortunately all the numbers we are fed are pretty useless. Infection rates - mostly a function of testing rates and - test quality Mortality rates - possibility for under- und overreporting especially if death was not solely caused by Covid-19 On the latter interesting article from El Pais on exce...
by Fugger
Mon Mar 23, 2020 12:43 pm
Forum: Chile Crisis, Emergencies, Disasters
Topic: Curfew nation wide 10 p.m. to 5 a.m.
Replies: 16
Views: 5336

Re: Curfew nation wide 10 p.m. to 5 a.m.

And considering how many ignorant little millenials are out there think they should be able to do what they like and damn everyone else (even their own grandparents). There will be some real hard choices and trade-offs involving people's life. Obviously not the rather trivial "right to party of a G...
by Fugger
Mon Mar 23, 2020 3:16 am
Forum: Chile Crisis, Emergencies, Disasters
Topic: coronavirus (COVID-19) in Chile
Replies: 2002
Views: 95155

Re: coronavirus (COVID-19) in Chile

not to mention graphing statistics over 16 days, with only 630 cases, etc, etc, when this is over, we can go back and start mapping stats. One thing I am certain of, historians will be working with a completely different set of statistics when they write the history books because everything we know...
by Fugger
Sun Mar 22, 2020 12:18 pm
Forum: Chile Investment, business, and Money Issues
Topic: Market crash! We have another Black Monday
Replies: 116
Views: 18660

Re: Market crash! We have another Black Monday

Middle Eastern market down between -1% and -3% today (in Sunday trading)

US future markets implying opening at approx. 1%
by Fugger
Sun Mar 22, 2020 11:23 am
Forum: Chile Crisis, Emergencies, Disasters
Topic: coronavirus (COVID-19) in Chile
Replies: 2002
Views: 95155

Re: coronavirus (COVID-19) in Chile

I follow this site for real time numbers and stats: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ This site is being updated regularly - multiple times throughout the day. I've been cross checking it against local news reports from time to time and it seems to be accurate. I've had it bookmarked for a...
by Fugger
Sat Mar 21, 2020 8:06 am
Forum: Chile Crisis, Emergencies, Disasters
Topic: coronavirus (COVID-19) in Chile
Replies: 2002
Views: 95155

Re: coronavirus (COVID-19) in Chile

I'm still confused why mortality rates are so different in different countries (leaving away the quite obvious lying of Chinese authorities) say between Italy and Germany. I'm not sure whether testing rates are sufficient to explain it (although they are likely the dominant reason). Other explanatio...