by admin » Thu Jun 16, 2011 6:17 pm
yea, I have fairly good idea from the earthquake monitoring alerts from the USGS that they will come from the North to north west of us. Of course, then it will likely be the one odd wave from the South that knocks my house down.
Yea, one thing, I see repeated in the academic papers by the experts, but covered up in coded shop talk, is the admission that they have no frigen clue how earthquakes really behave or even how to properly reproduce them in the lab (apart from some approximation based on quakes that have already occurred and been recorded). Even the quakes they have recordings of, they admit regularly that there are far too many local variables to reproduce in any consistent way. For example, same quake, say the San Fransisco, behaved differently on structures all over the region because of differences in soil, wave reflection, depth, distance, on and on, and on. They simply don't know.
When the big one hit in Temuco, I had big old heavy TV on a very unstable table and a glass of water next to my bed, and neither was disturbed. My refrigerator downstairs had move over 2 meters across the kitchen floor, and frozen meat had been flung against the wall on the other side of the room over 12 feet away. In my office, the speakers for the computers were thrown against the wall sufficiently hard that if I tried to do the same thing I would have had to accelerate them with all my strength as if I was throwing a fast ball pitch against the wall less than 4 feet from it. The cases were just shattered. Thus, even inside the same structure, the behavior can be radically different from room to room and even in the same room.
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