Forty percent. On average, that is economic overhang of the U.S. economy. It's the percentage of federal spending that needs to be cut to balance that budget, and it also equals the chunk of private debt that will never be repaid and should be removed as assets from lender's balance sheets.
No politician dares to propose anything but minor, marginal cuts to spending. If lenders took the necessary write-downs on their bad debts, they would be declared insolvent. We have a complete vacuum of leadership. Our sock-puppet President has turned over authority to the Federal Reserve and the Big Banks and allowed them to "manage" this situation while he concentrates on his reelection in 2012. Extend and pretend, pretend and extend. If a rule or a law gets in the way of the fantasy, then that rule is suspended or the law is ignored.
Daily life goes on, the stock market ratchets higher with mathematically-impossible certitude. Retail prices for food and fuel also ratchet higher, but at a pace that hasn't caused any real concern among shoppers beyond grumbling. It all reminds me of the vibe in the Summer of 2008 when everyone sensed something was terribly wrong, but public officials claimed they had the situation under control.


