We have comments from Tompkins in the L.A. times about the road and the volcano.
http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/laplaza ... ins-t.htmlI think he is right. A super ferry would be more realistic for the entire Patagonia, and something that could be done right now. Right now they have some of the slowest windup toys as a ferry system. There are plenty of parts of the world that do just fine cut off from the mainland with good ferry systems. With or without the road project, it is something that needs to be done in the mean time.
The current ferries hold about 12 cars and trucks, and take over 12-14 hours to do runs, and are broken down for months at a time cutting off the entire region from supplies. None are passenger ferries.
The road through Pumalin will be more of a financial dog than the transantiago fiasco. The estimates are over 60 bridges will need to be built, not to mention cutting through mountain after mountain. All that and you will be lucky to get much more than a very narrow glorified dirt road when it is done for maintaining power lines.
The dirty secret that even most Chileans don't know is that the road that is there now is just dirt only a few km south of Puerto Montt, and includes a year around ferry hop already before you even get to the end where they are proposing the road through Pumalin. In fact, the road is hardly adequate to carry heavy machinery or the buses and trucks that run on it now.
The next real paved highway is like 300-400 km south on the Austral highway near Puerto Aysen (yes there is like 15 kms near Chaiten that was never completed). So, they have not even finished the roads that have nothing to do with Pumalin.
We will all most likely be long dead before that road is completed, no matter how much money you throw at it and if Tompkins was willing to donate his land to the project. It is in just practical terms almost like Chile deciding to build the English channel tunnel.
It seems like a good idea on the map. You need to go see the land they are talking about to appreciate how this is a none project. Started right now with unlimited resources, no opposition, that road is at least 10 years to ruff cut status under the best circumstances. More likly 20 years before it is something adequate to evacuate or even support the southern part of the Patagonia's regular needs. It would not have helped Futa or points south of Chaiten in this situation.
An even better, and more practical solution to all of this ready right now is to negotiate a free trade corridor through Argentina. This is one hefty document and some signatures away from solving everyone's problem. They have the highway already (could use some patching though), that spans the length of Southern Chile.
Well, I still do not buy the road as a solution to Patagonia's problems in spite of the volcano. As for all the people screaming that Chile needs the dams, here is where that electricity is going:
From CNN money today:
Chile, Argentina Reach Agreement On Salta Power Plant Output
http://news.google.com/news/url?sa=t&ct ... wDT9-VZs4g