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What will 2008 Bring PART II ( Chile Peso Exchange Rate )?

Anything at all (keep it clean) goes here that does not fit in to any of the other forums.

Moderator: eeuunikkeiexpat

Your Expection for the Chilean Peso rate through July 2008

550
2
8%
540
4
17%
530
4
17%
520
3
13%
510
1
4%
500
3
13%
490
2
8%
480
1
4%
475
3
13%
450
0
No votes
440
0
No votes
430
0
No votes
420
0
No votes
410
0
No votes
400
0
No votes
390
0
No votes
380
0
No votes
350
0
No votes
300
0
No votes
1 to 1
0
No votes
 
Total votes : 23

Re: What will 2008 Bring PART II ( Chile Peso Exchange Rate )?

Postby Vicki and Greg Lansen on Mon Jun 23, 2008 11:12 pm

500+

Vicki - in Futa - Dancing in her long underwear right now! :mrgreen:
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Re: What will 2008 Bring PART II ( Chile Peso Exchange Rate )?

Postby mlightheart on Mon Jun 23, 2008 11:17 pm

xe.com had it pegged at 501.250
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Re: What will 2008 Bring PART II ( Chile Peso Exchange Rate )?

Postby Vicki and Greg Lansen on Tue Jun 24, 2008 3:54 am

550 and I'm shedding the long johns in JOY! :lol:
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Re: What will 2008 Bring PART II ( Chile Peso Exchange Rate )?

Postby RWS on Tue Jun 24, 2008 9:57 am

And just to think that when I was last in Chile, last August, I was dejected by the low, low, low exchange rate of CH$535 or so . . . .
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Re: What will 2008 Bring PART II ( Chile Peso Exchange Rate )?

Postby jalundberg on Tue Jun 24, 2008 10:03 am

I still get a bit dejected everytime I look at the 5-year chart and see 750 as the rate in 2003.

...I could afford a lot more here with 750. Although, as I'll soon be earning in Chilean pesos, I'll have to root for the other side when I prepare to change those pesos to dollars.
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Re: What will 2008 Bring PART II ( Chile Peso Exchange Rate )?

Postby RWS on Tue Jun 24, 2008 10:11 am

I become even more dejected when I look at a hundred-year chart and see how badly the dollar's slipped, ever since 1933 or so. Bring back the five-hundred-dollar house, the nine-dollar suit, and even the outrageously expensive dinner (seven courses, three wines, white-tie at the best restaurant in New York city) at five dollars!
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Re: What will 2008 Bring PART II ( Chile Peso Exchange Rate )?

Postby MarkF on Tue Jun 24, 2008 11:19 am

RWS wrote:I become even more dejected when I look at a hundred-year chart and see how badly the dollar's slipped, ever since 1933 or so. Bring back the five-hundred-dollar house, the nine-dollar suit, and even the outrageously expensive dinner (seven courses, three wines, white-tie at the best restaurant in New York city) at five dollars!


This site is very interesting (and balanced) to see how wealth/value have changed over the years, especially this page: http://www.measuringworth.org/usgdp/. Enter the years 1900 and 2007, and then examine the Real and Nominal GDP numbers (today's dollars and current-year's dollars respectively). I don't mind that the dollar has elasticity (so the Fed can react to changing circumstances), but you'd think it would exhibit one property of elastic: returning to its original shape. :)

On the other hand, this site raises some thought-provoking issues. How do we define value or purchasing power? Babe Ruth earned a fortune in 1932. Had he banked his money it would have been worth relatively less today. But, he was unable to buy an effective treatment for cancer.

It seems to me like comparing $5 today and a hundred years ago leaves out a lot of important things. If the people 100 years ago had a crystal ball, they'd be bitchen about how our dollar buys a sit-down toilet, and an hour of 24-hours a day.

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Re: What will 2008 Bring PART II ( Chile Peso Exchange Rate )?

Postby mlightheart on Thu Jun 26, 2008 4:27 pm

Well, xe.com has the exchange rate pegged at 515.247 as of now.
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Re: What will 2008 Bring PART II ( Chile Peso Exchange Rate )?

Postby mistertk on Thu Jun 26, 2008 8:01 pm

Arrgh... no... I want it to be as it was weeks before just to purchase things from US at a lower price (what a selfish attitude), but even at $500-something it is somewhat low.
Testing... testing...
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Re: What will 2008 Bring PART II ( Chile Peso Exchange Rate )?

Postby admin on Thu Jun 26, 2008 9:05 pm

the price of gas will have more impact on your ability to buy U.S. goods than the exchange rate really. The shipping cost have gone up everywhere.
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Re: What will 2008 Bring PART II ( Chile Peso Exchange Rate )?

Postby RWS on Thu Jun 26, 2008 9:24 pm

mistertk wrote:. . . . [E]ven at $500-something it is somewhat low.

An acquaintance with extensive foreign-exchange experience has mentioned that, with monetary restraint on both sides, the dollar should trade at seven hundred pesos or slightly less.

But I don't see monetary restraint anywhere these days.
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Re: What will 2008 Bring PART II ( Chile Peso Exchange Rate )?

Postby eeuunikkeiexpat on Thu Jun 26, 2008 9:31 pm

How many others out there find the better rate worthless to good at only keeping barely even after the recent jumps in almost every item in the supermarket, transport and service sectors? When I first got here, you could buy a can of jurel for 335 pesos, now that same can is 699 pesos; last week it was 649 pesos, before my recent trip back to the States 525 pesos and for many months before that a stable 469 pesos. Beer, pisco, bread, milk, beef, chicken, pork all up.
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Re: What will 2008 Bring PART II ( Chile Peso Exchange Rate )?

Postby admin on Mon Jun 30, 2008 9:32 pm

That is it. I am sure xe.com is broken.

1 USD = 524.400 CLP
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Re: What will 2008 Bring PART II ( Chile Peso Exchange Rate )?

Postby MarkF on Mon Jun 30, 2008 10:18 pm

admin wrote:That is it. I am sure xe.com is broken. 1 USD = 524.400 CLP


I predict 550 by the end of the year. The Fed is planning to raise rates. It's just a question of whether they wait until after the election.

FWIW: I don't know how I feel about that. Normally, raising rates is a response to inflation due to an overheating economy. Inflation today is due to competition for finite resources. Nothing will change that fact of life. Slowing down the US economy won't. It seems like encouraging growth (innovation) would be a better solution. But, I never understood economics.

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Re: What will 2008 Bring PART II ( Chile Peso Exchange Rate )?

Postby RWS on Tue Jul 01, 2008 8:27 am

Charles, pressing "View results" on the polling chart yields a new screen -- showing nothing. Now, I know that the chart should show something, as I remember choosing two figures some time ago: so, I fear, the chart's mechanism is broken. Any possibility of fixing it? I'd be interested in seeing the AllChilean consensus -- thanks!
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